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Ed McIntosh Weather Blog

  • Click for 7 Day ForecastThe weekend starts with the wind, and ends with cold and snow.

    Winds will be strong down the mountain slopes again Friday, with Livingston and Nye see wind gusts to around 60 miles an hour. Strong winds will affect travel from Big Timber to Harlowton.

    Billings will be breezy, with areas of patchy blowing snow possible from Billings to the West through the day on Friday.

    As a disturbance moves through the area later today, the winds will subside but the chance of snow goes up. Where the bull’s-eye will end up for some of the heavier snow remains in question, 1 to 3 inches of snow seems reasonable across much of the area.

    Snow will decrease Saturday morning, and then pick up again with higher snow totals Saturday night lingering through Monday morning. Areas in the Beartooth, Absaroka, and Crazy mountains could pick up 1 to 2 feet of new snow.

    Friday will be the warmest day overall with readings in the mid-20s to mid 30s. That’s still cooler than seasonal averages.

    Saturday will cool a bit with more readings in the 20s to low 30s area

    Highs by Sunday will be mainly in the teens, with only the single digits for the warmest readings on Monday. By Tuesday morning, lows will drop to the teens below zero and could be close to some record cold temperatures.

    Billings forecast:

    Friday: Areas of blowing snow through the afternoon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. Wind chill values as low as -10. West southwest wind 15 to 25 mph.

    Tonight: Snow likely, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 15. West southwest wind 10 to 20 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

    Saturday: A 60 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 30. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

  • Click for 7 day forecast The good news is the gusty winds will ease up. The bad news is the wind leaves just before more snow and rain and cold temperatures show up.

    For the morning, our focus will be on gusty winds especially into the bear tooth mountain foothills. Gusts have been recorded at over 70 mph around Livingston overnight.

    Areas from Roundup, Billings, to the West will remain breezy to downright windy through the morning.

    A cold front will sweep across the area this afternoon, bringing a chance of rain and snow during the afternoon and evening hours. An isolated area of freezing rain is a possibility.

    After hitting highs in the 30s to low 40s Wednesday, temperatures will quickly drop overnight. Rain showers will switch to snow.

    Overall snow totals looked to be in about the 1 to 3 inch range for most of the area through early Thursday. Higher amounts are possible in the Red Lodge foothills, where snow could linger a bit longer.

    For Thursday, temperatures will likely be warmest in the morning, and then slip into the single digits above and below zero by Thursday evening.

    Billings forecast:

    Valentines Day: Increasing clouds with a west wind 15 to 25 mph early. A high near 40. West wind 15 to 25 mph. Then, a 60% chance of rain switching to snow later.

    Wedensday night: 60% chance of rain and snow during the evening, becoming all snow after 8pm. Cloudy, with a low around 12. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

    Thursday: Snow likely, mainly in the morning. Gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 12, but that will happen early in the day. Wind chill values as low as zero. North wind 5 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

  • Click for 7 Day Forecast Some relief from the cold Tuesday and Wednesday, but there is wind to deal with.

    Despite a chilly morning, Tuesday afternoon highs are destined for the upper 20s and 30s with lots of sun.

    But winds will be gusty.

    The Livingston/Nye area will experience 60 to 70 mph gusts, and Big Timber to Harlowton can expect up to 55 mph top winds. Billings will see 15 to 25 mph sustained winds, with gusts to 40 mph possible.

    The wind will be lighter east of Yellowstone County.

    Periods of wind continue overnight with Wednesday morning readings in the teens and 20s.

    Despite increasing clouds, highs on Wednesday will top off in the 30s to low 40s. Snow and colder temperatures return Wednesday night through Thursday.

    Billings forecast:

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 35. Wind chill values as low as -10. Southwest wind around 15 to 25 mph.

    Tonight: Increasing clouds, with a low around 26. West southwest wind 15 to 25 mph.

    Wednesday: A 30% chance of rain and light snow later in the day. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. West wind 15 to 25 mph.

  • Click for 7 day Forecast Ups and downs ahead in the weather once again early this week.

    Snow totals are fairly light Monday morning. Even still, areas of drifting and snow covering icy patches will still affect travel. Reduce speed and leave yourself room between vehicles.

    As the system slides south this afternoon, expect nothing more than a flurry and a sky that will begin to clear. Temperatures Monday afternoon will stay in the single digits.

    Temperatures will be cold overnight with most readings sliding below zero. The coldest readings will be in the river valleys, with wind chill values at -20 or colder early Tuesday.

    As westerly winds increase Tuesday, temperatures leap to the mid-20s to mid-30s Tuesday afternoon with plenty of sun.

    Another round of snow and colder air arrive by late Wednesday.

    Billings forecast:

    Monday…Cloudy with morning snow. Then gradually clearing this afternoon. Cold with a high near 4.

    Monday night…Mostly clear with a temperature of about -5 for a low. Wind chill values around -20. Southwest winds increase overnight.

    Tuesday…Sunny and about 35. Cold morning wind chill values.

  • Click for 7 day Forecast As the snow makes its way out, the cold makes its way in.

    While the chance of snow starting to decrease, bursts of snowfall will reduce visibility at times. Another one to 3 inches of snow are possible from Billings and Hardin toward the Red Lodge area.

    The surrounding area will receive likely 2 inches or less.

    Cold air will move into the region, holding temperatures to the single digits for this afternoon. By tonight, temperatures will drop mainly to the teens below zero additional wind chill values.

    The sun breaks through on Saturday, but temperatures will struggle only to the teens for most of the highs.

    Another round of snow will move in late Sunday into Monday.

    Billings forecast:

    Friday: Around another 2 inches of snow, mainly in the morning, then a chance of snow showers for Friday afternoon. High near 5. Wind chill values as low as -15. Light easterly wind.

    Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -10. Wind chill values as low as -30. Southerly breeze.

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 19. Wind chill values as low as -30. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph.

  • Click for 7 day Forecast There are still lots of weather hazards to talk about, but what kind of hazard changes a couple of times a day.

    Hazard 1: Winds will increase in the Livingston/Nye/Big Timber areas with gusts over 60 mph Wednesday through Thursday. The Harlowton area could experience gusts to 55 mph, and Billings may see an occasional gust to 40 mph.

    Hazard 2: Freezing rain is possible Wednesday evening through early Thursday over much of the area. This will be limited, but could make things very slippery very quickly, and limited visibility with freezing on windshields.

    Hazard 3: Snow will return. A cold front will move across the area during the day Thursday, with accumulating snow. Much of the area is on track for another 5-8 inches on top of what is already in place.

    Areas east of Billings seem to be in the best target area for accumulation.

    Otherwise, expect a milder day Wednesday despite cloudiness. Highs will range from the teens in Northeast Montana, 20s in Southeast Montana, 30s around Billings, and low 40s in the mountain foothills.

    Billings forecast:

    Wednesday: Cloudy with isolated afternoon rain or snow showers. A high near 38. West wind 10 to 20 mph with occasional gusts.

    Tonight: A 30% chance of light snow and freezing rain. Cloudy, with a low around 25. West southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Thursday: Around 3 inches of new snow. High near 32 early with temperatures dropping in the afternoon. Northerly wind around 10 mph.

  • The trend is warmer Tuesday and Wednesday. Then snow and cold return.

    Light snow showers will continue across the area early Tuesday, but trending towards drier and somewhat warmer conditions for the afternoon. Expect a mostly cloudy afternoon with highs in the mid 20s around Billings.

    Once again, temperatures will trend a bit colder East of Billings and warmer into the mountain foothills.

    Winds will increase around the Livingston area by this evening. Gusts of 60 to 70 miles an hour possible tonight and again tomorrow.

    Some of that wind will spread towards Billings, with gusts to around 40 miles an hour possible Wednesday. Temperatures will warm, and highs will hit near 40 in Billings Wednesday afternoon.

    The same trend towards warmer temperatures to the West and cooler to the East continues.

    A quick surge of colder air hits the area Thursday. Pacific moisture overrunning the chilly air will produce more snow.

    The system is still too much of a question to predict reliable snow totals, but areas of heavy snow are possible.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday… A chance of light snow showers especially in the morning, and cloudy to mostly cloudy. Highs will move up to near 25.

    Tuesday night… Mostly cloudy with temperatures dropping to the mid teens during the evening and then beginning to warm overnight.

    Wednesday… Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Periods of wind with gusts to around 40 mph possible. A high near 40.

  • A dividing line of colder and warmer air will continue to create snow showers.

    A stationary front continues to wobble back and forth across the region. Today, Billings will stay on the colder side of the line with temperatures mainly in the teens. Expect single digits to low teens across the Eastern plains, with 20s and of the mountain foothills.

    Snow will be most likely West of a line from Roundup to Billings to Sheridan, Wyoming. Around 2 inches of new snow will be common with up to 4 inches in some of the lower elevations.

    Overnight temperatures will fall mainly to the teens from Billings to the West, but subzero temperatures are likely in Eastern Montana. Areas of light snow could continue this evening from Billings to the West.

    For Tuesday, warmer air shifts back towards Billings with readings in the 20s and 30s from Billings westward, and teens across the Eastern plains.

    Billings forecast:

    Monday… Around 2 inches of new snow. A high near 14. East breeze around 5 mph.

    Monday night… Snow likely with light accumulations. Around 10° for the low.

    Tuesday… Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of light snow. Warmer, with a high of about 26.

  • Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow this Groundhog Day. His prediction of 6 more weeks of winter arrives this weekend.

    There will be a clear dividing line between colder air east of Billings, and warmer air from Billings to the west on Friday. High temperatures will range from the teens closer to the Dakotas to the mid-40s in the mountain foothills.

    Expect a mix of clouds and sun with area snow and rain showers during the day and into the evening. Gusty winds will blow 40 to 50 mph area Livingston.

    Saturday, temperatures will be mild in the morning, but drop sharply in the afternoon around Billings. Snow showers will follow, and much of the area will see 3”-6” of new snow on the ground by Sunday.

    Another round of snow hits us Sunday night through Monday.

    The heaviest snow will be on the dividing line between the warm and cold air. Right now, Billings appears to be right on that line.

    Billings forecast:

    Friday: A chance of snow in the morning, then a chance of rain. Mostly cloudy to cloudy, with a high near 42. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

    Friday Night: Snow and rain likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. West wind 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

    Saturday: Snow, mainly after noon. Temperature rising to near 38 by 10am, then falling to around 20 during the remainder of the day. West wind 8 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around 2 inches.

  • Thursday may be the calm before the storm.

    Temperatures in southern Montana and northern Wyoming will be mainly into the 20s to low 30s. Colder air remains across the Eastern plains with only single digits in teens for highs from Forsyth to Miles City extending to the north and east.

    Expect the generally partly cloudy day with the chilly breeze.

    Showers will start to move into the mountain foothills by this evening, with temperatures ranging from single digits below zero in northeastern Montana to the teens and 20s above zero through southern Montana northern Wyoming.

    The trend on Friday is a little warmer but with scattered rain and snow showers increasing through the day.

    Click for 7 day ForecastTemperatures are still a bit of a question on Saturday. That also leaves the question whether we will see rain or snow showers during the day.

    In any event, good snow making conditions develop by Saturday night. Expect additional accumulations through the day on Sunday.

    Billings forecast:

    Thursday… Partly sunny with a high near 32. Southwest wind 10 to 20 mph.

    Thursday night… Mostly cloudy with a low of around 24.

    Friday… Generally cloudy with scattered rain and snow showers. About 40 for the high temperature.