ESPN 910, KBLG - Weather Blog

Ed McIntosh Weather Blog

  • Rain showers are not giving up yet.

    Expect showers and scattered thunderstorms across the region Friday and over the weekend. Temperatures will be a bit below seasonal averages, staying mainly in the lower-to-mid 70s for highs.

    The humidity will stay elevated. Localized storms will produce moderate to heavy rainfall, and small hail can be expected with thunderstorms.

    Drier and warmer weather is anticipated early next week with highs moving to the 80s Monday.

    Billings forecast:

    Friday: Scattered showers, with thunderstorms also possible. Cloudy to mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Westerly wind 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Friday Night: Isolated evening showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. West southwest wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Saturday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly to partly sunny, with a high near 75. Westerly wind 5 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday gets warm, and then comes the storm.

    Under the influence of a high pressure ridge, warmer high temperatures in the upper 70s to mid-80s can be expected Thursday. The area starts with more sun, and ends up with more clouds.

    A disturbance will hit areas west of Billings by Thursday afternoon, then shift through Billings by the evening. It will reach Eastern Montana and continue into North Dakota by late evening and overnight.

    Showers and thunderstorms will develop along this disturbance. Some storms could contain hail, strong winds, and/or heavy rain.

    Expect somewhat cooler and breezier conditions Friday. Highs will be mainly in the 70s with more clouds than sun, with areas showers and thunderstorms.

    Billings forecast:

    Thursday… Mostly sunny early with a high near 82. South breeze.

    Thursday night…Increasing evening clouds with showers and thunderstorms likely. Low of about 57.

    Friday… Showers likely and maybe even a thunderstorm. Breezy periods. Mostly cloudy and around 74 for the high temperature.

  • Our storm system is weakening, but still hanging around.

    As the slow moving weather system that is been bringing periods of heavy rain across the region loses strength, there is still enough instability around Wednesday for more scattered showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain.

    With a mix of clouds and sun, expect afternoon highs Wednesday to be in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Showers and thunderstorms are still possible but will decrease through the afternoon and evening.

    Quiet overnight with temperatures in the mid-40s to mid 50s and the sky will be partly cloudy.

    For Thursday, temperatures will jump to lower 80s for a large part of the area. A strong disturbance will move into areas West of Billings Thursday afternoon and evening, and then move across the Eastern portion of Montana Thursday night.

    This system will generate another round of showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could be strong with hail and very heavy rain. A chance of showers and thunderstorms will linger through the weekend.

    Billings forecast:

    Wednesday… Partly sunny with a high near 73. Light westerly wind. A chance of showers and thunderstorms that could produce heavy rain.

    Wednesday night… A slight chance of evening showers or thunderstorms. Otherwise, partly cloudy with a low around 54.

    Thursday… Mostly sunny with only isolated area storms. Warmer, with a high of about 82. A chance of showers and thunderstorms redevelops during the afternoon and evening.

  • We are not done with rain yet. Not even close.

    The same slow moving weather system that has been bringing cool and wet conditions for days continues Tuesday, and is still around Wednesday.

    Moderate to heavy rain is likely here and there, although the exact locations will be hard to pinpoint. There is a lot of available moisture in the atmosphere, and areas east of Billings may be the hardest hit Tuesday.

    Storms may not be as large and widespread as recent days. Rain continues, but decreases through Wednesday.

    The National Weather Service has Flood Watches in effect for much of the area west of Billings. Streams, rivers, and even ditches could rise rapidly, possibly leading to flooding. Do not cross a road covered in water, and rural roads may become too muddy to travel.

    Thursday looks warm and dry during the day, but showers and thunderstorms that could turn severe are possible by late Thursday.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday… Cloudy to mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. A high near 69 with a light invariable North breeze. Patches of morning fog.

    Tuesday night… Showers and thunderstorms during the evening, and then a chance of showers overnight. Some storms could produce heavy rain. Otherwise, cloudy to mostly cloudy with a low of about 53.

    Wednesday… Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers or after dude thunderstorms. Around 71 for the high.

  • More rain is on the way, and it is not in the big hurry to leave.

    Showers and thunderstorms will continue Monday. Areas of locally heavy rain are possible, especially from Billings to the West.

    Likely rivers and streams will rise, with some localized flooding possible. Mountain snow will continue to affect the Beartooth Highway Monday as well.

    High temperatures will be mainly in the 60s Monday, with some 70s through northern Wyoming and extreme Southeast Montana. Overnight temperatures will be mainly in the 40s to mid 50s.

    The chance of showers and thunderstorms lingers through much of the week, but gradually tapers off. The best bet for the next warm and dry day is Thursday.

    Billings forecast:

    Monday… Rain showers with thunderstorms possible in the afternoon. A high of about 66. Northeast winds generally 5 to 15 mph.

    Monday night… Showers and a possible evening thunderstorms. Heavy rain possible. Low near 52.

    Tuesday… Cloudy to mostly cloudy with a chance of showers or thunderstorms. High around 67.

  • Warmer and dry weather for midweek with showers returning for the weekend.

    In the short-term, Wednesday and Thursday will be warm and dry, although occasionally a bit breezy. Expect sunshine Wednesday, with highs mainly in the 70s.

    West winds will be breezy at times, especially North of Billings. Relative humidity numbers will drop.

    Wednesday will be sunny and dry with temperatures warming in the 80s in the afternoon. Expect more sunshine, although a few evening showers or thunderstorms West of Billings are possible.

    Thursday becomes more unsettled, as an early-morning cold front will bring more afternoon clouds. By Friday, Saturday and Sunday, temperatures will slide mainly to the 60s with an increasing chance of widespread rain showers.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday… High near 74 with sunshine in a West wind 10 to 20 mph.

    Tuesday night… Mostly clear and around 50 for the low.

    Wednesday… Sunny with a high near 85.

  • Favorable conditions for unfavorable weather Thursday afternoon.

    Strong to severe storms will likely form somewhere over the area Thursday afternoon and evening. The question now is where will the storms hit, and what will be the impacts.

    Storms could large damaging hail, strong winds, frequent lightning, with isolated areas of heavy rain. A funnel cloud or tornado would not be out of the question.

    High temperatures will be mainly in the 70s to mid 80s with increasing afternoon clouds. Best chance of storms will start in the afternoon through the evening hours.

    For Billings, the best chance of thunderstorms is likely between 5 and 9 PM. But storms could develop any time during the afternoon or evening.

    Billings forecast:

    Thursday… Increasing clouds with a high near 83. A chance of showers and thunderstorms kicks in by the afternoon.

    Thursday night… Chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially through sunset. Some storms could be severe. Gradual clearing overnight with a low of around 57.

    Friday… Sunny with a high of about 84.

  • The chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue in the evenings for the next couple of days. Some of the storms could be severe, with Thursday having the greatest chances for damaging storms.

    Afternoon high temperatures Wednesday and Thursday will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Expect sunshine during the day, but the humidity will remain fairly high.

    Storms will favor areas as far west as around Livingston to the North around Roundup to Forsyth South through northern Wyoming this evening. Northern Wyoming has the best chance of strong severe storms Wednesday evening.

    For Thursday, almost the entire region is under a greater risk of late day storms. Heavy rain, large hail, damaging winds, and frequent lightning could be expected with storms the develop.

    Billings forecast:

    Wednesday… Mostly sunny with a high near 81. East breeze by the afternoon.

    Wednesday night… Scattered showers and thunderstorms during the evening. Mostly cloudy with a low around 57.

    Thursday… Mostly sunny, but with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms through the day. Best chance of storms will be during the evening. Some storms could be severe. High about 81.

  • The chance of showers and strong to severe thunderstorms continues each day through the remainder of the week.

    There will be a continue chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon and evening, especially for areas East of Billings. A stronger disturbance will move over the area Wednesday.

    Some thunderstorms may be severe Tuesday or Wednesday with the potential of gusty winds, large hail, frequent lightning. A few storms may have heavy rain.

    Afternoon high temperatures Tuesday will be closer to seasonal averages, with about a 15° drop from Monday’s highs. Billings Logan Field reported a high of 90° on Monday, but highs in the mid 70s will be more widespread for Tuesday.

    Temperatures Wednesday will warm back to the lower 80s for most locations.

    Billings forecast:

    Tuesday… Partly sunny with a chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High near 75.

    Tuesday night… Scattered isolated showers and thunderstorms with a low of about 54. Generally partly cloudy.

    Wednesday… Mostly sunny with a high around 82. Scattered showers and thunderstorms that could turn severe by the evening.

  • Monday will be the overall the warmest day so far in 2018. And it will end with at least isolated thunderstorms.

    The sunny, warm and dry conditions that persisted through the weekend peak today. Many of the high temperatures will be the warmest so far in 2018, hitting the upper 80s to low 90s.

    As a cold front moves through the area this evening, there will be a slight chance for shower thunderstorm especially in areas North the Billings.

    Some of the storms could be severe, with gusty winds being the number one threat. Areas of heavy rain and hail are also possible.

    Tuesday will be cooler, with highs mainly in the 70s to low 80s. There will be a better chance for showers and thunderstorms across the entire area Tuesday with increase humidity across the region.

    Billings forecast:

    Monday… Sunny and hot with a high near 91. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph.

    Monday night… Isolated showers and thunderstorms that could produce strong to severe weather. Otherwise partly cloudy with a low near 56.

    Tuesday… Mostly sunny with a high near 76. Scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening.